Inputs
Five weighted streams: adjusted net rating, pace and play-volume, injury report quality (incl. our beat reporters), rest and travel, and a market-disagreement signal derived from line movement across 18 books.
Live Rail
All leagues →
- NBABOS 112 · MIA 104Final · Q4
- NHLEDM 3 · NYR 23rd · 12:47
- EPLARS 2 · LIV 178'
- NBALAL 98 · DEN 101Q3 · 4:21
- NFLCombine Day 2Live blog
- UCLRMA 0 · MCI 0KO 21:00
Power Ratings
The line the market hasn't caught up to yet.
Today’s read on every NFL, NBA, and EPL club, recalculated every fifteen minutes against pace, personnel, and market posture. Below: the methodology, the current tables, and the audited nine-of-eleven-seasons track record that puts them on this desk in the first place.
Methodology
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How the model is built, what it eats, and how often it updates.
EL Sports Power Ratings start from a settled offensive/defensive baseline per team, then layer five live inputs on top of it. Every number you see on this page has run through the same pipeline since August 2017 — the file you download is the same file the newsroom, the syndicates, and the two NFL teams using it under license are reading.
Weighting
Recency-weighted with a six-game rolling window for in-season leagues; a season-blended core for NFL offseason and EPL transfer windows. Weights are publicly documented and frozen between full re-trainings every January and July.
Update cadence
Live recalculation every 15 minutes during active slates; one-touch overrides when our beat desk confirms a late lineup, scratch, or weather shift. The last-touch timestamp on every row tells you when it last moved.
What it is not
It’s not a picks service and it’s not a standings projection. It’s a calibrated rating relative to a league-average 0.0, designed to be the single best predictor of how a matchup will play out independent of the betting line.
Audited results
The track record, minus the anecdotes.
9 / 11
Seasons finished in top 2% ATS
Independent tracking — SportsActionAudit
58.3%
Hit rate on 4,820 line-movement alerts since 2022
Third-party audit, Aug 2024
3.1min
Average edge over two leading competitors on line-movement alerts
ClearEdge Media audit, 11,400 sampled events
8
Licensed operators: 6 sportsbooks + 2 NFL teams
Internal licensing ledger, Q4 2024
“Across 11,400 sampled events, EL Sports’ line-movement alerts landed an average of 3.1 minutes ahead of the two outlets we benchmarked against — and the rating movements they previewed outperformed market close more often than chance would predict.”
Read the full audit notes →
Licensing & Downloads
Used by sportsbooks and NFL teams — and available to you as a CSV.
The same Power Ratings engine sits inside six licensed sportsbook operators and two NFL front offices. What shows on this page is the same feed; what they see under license adds per-market deltas and proprietary splits.
- Public sample CSV — current NFL, NBA, EPL snapshot, refreshed daily at 06:00 ET.
- Full historical archive — every published rating back to August 2017 (Premium tier).
- API & bulk licensing — for sportsbooks, props shops, and syndicate desks (b2b only).
The downloadable CSV is generated nightly and made available above the masthead each morning; the live, in-page tables update independently at the cadences documented in the methodology section.
